Christopher Bell’s three-race winning streak ended in Las Vegas last week, but Miami’s 2025 NASCAR offers another opportunity to start something new. Bell won Homestead Miami Speedway in 2023, finishing fourth last year, increasing his chances for the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 at 3pm on Sunday. Bell’s average finish on this track since 2022 is tied to the best in the sport alongside AJ Allmendinger, the only driver to have a top 10 in each of the last three NASCARs in Miami races. Bell is 17-2 in the top 17-2 straight talk wireless 400 odds in 2025, but AllMendinger could potentially be steel at 65-1 in Miami bets in 2025 NASCAR. Favorites for the sixth race in the Cup Series were 4-1 Kyle Larson, followed by Tyler Reddick (5-1) and Ryan Branny (11-2).
Before entering your 2025 straight talk wireless 400 pick, be sure to check the latest 2025 NASCAR in Homestead-Miami predictions from Sportsline’s proven projection model. Developed by Sportsline Predictive Data Engineer Mike McClure, the proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, nailing a whopping 19 winners since 2021.
Sportsline simulated 10,000 straight talk wireless 400 2025. According to the model, the following three best bets are:
My Amy Sleeper’s Top NASCAR Picks from 10,000 Simulations
Ross Chastain (Fundael +2200)
Since being forced to retire at Daytona due to car issues, Chastain has made it to the top 12 in four races. He has not experienced the biggest previous successes at Homestead, but was runner-up on the track in 2022. Chastain shows promise on a track that rivals Miami Homestead Speedway. His final victory took place at Kansas Speedway in September 2024, just 1.5 miles, similar to Homestead. He also won the Nashville intermediate track the previous year, and is a long shot worth investing in Fandael.
Kyle Busch (DraftKings +2200)
The veteran driver continues to compete in every race this season, with crashes not letting him derail. In his first and last races in 2025, he was struggling with car trouble, but in the three races in between, Busch each had the top 10 seconds. He is well versed in 1.5 miles of trucks like Homestead, with the most top 5 and top 10 in the mid-tracks of active drivers, and knows what it takes to win at Homestead. Bush has two NASCARs in Miami’s victory and has made eight top ten marks in his last 10 starts at Miami Homestead Speedway.
Alex Bowman (Cesars +2200)
Bowman is the one who made great strides at Miami Homestead Speedway after averaging 26 finishes in his first four starts at South Beach. Since then, he averaged 12.4 finishes in Miami and has won three top-10 finishes in these five races. With Hendrick Motorsports having four NASCARs in Miami’s victory and four NASCARs in Miami’s first victory since 2021, he will enter the race on Sunday in support of one of the most successful teams in the history of this race.
More NASCARs have occurred at Miami’s expert pick, Longshot revealed
I’ve seen the model’s long shot of NASCAR. Now, see the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 Leaderboard, which includes predictions of who will finish first. Visit the Sportsline to see the predicted leaderboard from a model that nailed 19 winners, including Chase Elliott’s victory in the 2025 crash at Bowman Gray.
2025 NASCAR Miami Ods, Drivers, Lineup
Kyle Larson +400
Tyler Reddick +500
Ryan Branny +550
William Byron +600
Christopher Bell +850
Denny Hamlin +1100
Chase Elliot +1200
Joey Logano +1800
Ross Chastain +2000
Kyle Busch +2200
Alex Bowman+2200
Josh Berry +3300
Chase Brisco +3300
Bubba Wallace +3500
Carson Hocevar +3500
Chris Buscher +4500
Brad Keselowski +4500
Ryan Preece +5000
Austin Syndric +5000
Ty Gibbs +6000
Daniel Suarez +6500
AJ AllMendinger +6500
Noah Grugson +15,000
Michael McDowell +15,000
Austin Dillon +20000
Shane Van Gisbergen +25000
Erik Jones +25000
Zane Smith +25000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +30000
Justin Haley +30000
Cole Custer +30000
John Hunter Nemeshek +35000
Todd Gilliland +40,000
Riley Herbst +50000
Ty Dillon +100000
Cody Ware +150000
JJ Yeley +250000
