No.1 Seed Auburn Tigers and No.2 Seed Michigan State Spartans are linked to Elite 8 at the 2025 NCAA Tournament on Sunday. The Tigers have won all three tournament games with double figures. In Sweet 16, Auburn eliminated Michigan, 78-65. The Spartans narrowly beat Ole Miss 73-70 on Friday. Auburn is considering making his first Final Four since 2019. This was also the last time Michigan State won the Final Four.
Tip-offs from State Farm Arena in Atlanta are at 5:05 PM ET. Odds via Michigan State vs. Ouburn Outss via Sportsline Consensus lists the Tigers as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under scorepoint of 146.5. The total points scored in the first half was 69.5. Before creating the Auburn vs. Michigan pick, you need to review the predictions of college basketball from the sports line projection model.
This model simulates all Division 1 college basketball games 10,000 times. All top-rate college basketball picks dating back to 2023 will enter the sweet 16th round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament with a 228-168 roll (+1815). The model beat CBS Sports over 91% in four of the last six tournaments, and was glued to the 25th round, the first round of 25, the first round of 25. Anyone who followed would have seen a big return.
Now the model has dialed in to Michigan and Auburn, revealing its picks and forecasts. Head to SportsLine now to see the model picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends in Michigan and Auburn:
Michigan vs. Auburn Spread: Tigers-5.5 Michigan vs. Auburn Over/Under: 146.5 Points Michigan vs. Auburn Money Line: Tigers-234, Spartan +191 Michigan vs. Auburn Pick: See picks on Sports Line
Why Michigan can cover it?
The Spartans are now 8-2 against ranked opponents this season. Senior guard Jaden Atkins is an agile ball handler in the backcourt. Atkins averages 12.8 team-high points with 3.6 rebounds per game. In a victory at Ole Miss, Atkins received 13 points, four rebounds and three assists.
Freshman Guard Jace Richardson owns a simple first step to get into the paint. Richardson will score 12.2 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. The Colorado native has scored over 20 points on two of his last four outings. On March 28th, against Ole Miss, Richardson had 20 points and six boards. Take a look at the teams returning to the Sports Line.
Why Auburn can cover it
The Tigers are 13-8 against the spread with the same amount of rest as their opponent. Senior forward Johnny Bloom is a long and active force around the edge. The Florida native finished eighth nationally with rebounds (10.8), which scored 18.5 points per game. He is also knocking down 50.5% of field goal attempts. On his previous outings, Bloom had 22 points and 16 rebounds.
Senior guard Denver Jones are playmakers who can knock down outside jumpers. Jones increases 11.0 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. The Alabama native has scored at least 15 points in consecutive games. On March 22nd, Jones scored 15 points and three assists totaling 2-2 over the arc. Take a look at the teams returning to the Sports Line.
How to make Michigan and Auburn Picks
Sportsline’s model is leaning towards totals, predicting teams will combine 149 points. It also states that one side of the spread was a hit, well above 50% of the simulation. Check which side of it in Sportsline.
So who wins Auburn vs Michigan State and which side of the spread well over 50% of the simulation hits? Go to the Sports Line and see which side of the spread is jumping. See everything from advanced models that have grown nearly $1,900 in top-rate spread picks since 2023.
